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  #46  
Old 01-26-2017, 05:18 AM
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January 26, 2017

Trump signed Exec Order for Controversial Pipelines

Environmentalists have predicted about the much-protected issue but only few of them presumed it would instantly take place. As US President Donald Trump signed an executive order giving a go-ahead signal for the completion of the controversial Keystone XL and Dakota Access pipeline. Based on reports, these infrastructure programs allow an easier shipping of fossil fuels towards North America.

This re-authorization order is included in the promise of Trump during his campaign which is about the lessening of internal procedures in blocking the pipelines.Moreover, the 70-year old politician was lambasted by climate activists together with Native Americans after he approved the memorandum for the pipeline projects.

The pipeline revival is the initial opposing move of current American leader against ex-President Obama’s environmental policies. As Obama’s presidency did not pursue this plan due to some environmental-related concerns.
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  #47  
Old 01-26-2017, 05:48 AM
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January 26, 2017

Shinzo Abe Open to Possible US Bilateral Trade Deal after Trump Withdraws from TPP Agreement


Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has stated that he is currently open to a possible bilateral trade deal with US after President Trump formally exited from the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement. Abe stated on Thursday that the PM is completely open to one-on-one talks with US for a possible trade deal, and also added that the Prime Minister is currently in the process of finalizing the details of his summit with Trump. Trump and Abe will be having a conversation via phone before finally seeing each other in Washington this coming February 10. Shinzo Abe is a known proponent of the TPP and is constantly looking for ways to boost Japan’s relationship with US.
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  #48  
Old 01-27-2017, 02:41 AM
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EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: January 27, 2017

The EUR/USD pair finally experienced some substantial correction after the USD was able to regain its strength during the previous session. The EUR/USD pair dropped by over 120 pips from its previous level of 1.0770 points and is currently trading at 1.0680 points. This move in the currency pair was mostly caused by heightened risk in the stance of the euro after a number of world leaders voiced out their concerns regarding the EURís strength, while other world leaders stated their confidence in the current situation of the euro currency. However, speeches like these from government leaders would usually cause general unrest in the market especially since these kinds of speeches are usually uncalled for.

The dollar also received support from the fact that the Trump administration seems to be working on most of its campaign platforms and are actually following realistic targets instead of going haywire, and since this is generally good news for the market, this has created an upward support for the US dollar. The dollar seems to have finally broken its wild careening movement and is expected to steadily increase in value over the next coming sessions.

US will be releasing its advanced GDP data as well as its Durable Goods data during todayís session, and these sets of data will be closely monitored by the market since these will either make or break the US economyís current show of strength. If these data comes out as positive, then this could possibly lead to the USD increasing further in value up until the weekend, and the EUR/USD could correct up to its range lows of 1.0400 points.
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  #49  
Old 01-29-2017, 11:51 PM
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GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: January 30, 2017

The GBP/USD pair was able to regain its footing and erase all the losses it had incurred during the latter part of last week. Although the increase in the value of the sterling pound was mainly because of the actual pound strength and not because of any drop in the value of the USD, the movement of the GBP was largely influenced by the stance of the US dollar. The US dollar has been relatively weak today and this has caused the GBP to increase in value and trade just below 1.2600, where it could possibly increase further in value.

The drop in the dollarís value was mostly due to Trumpís policies, which did not sit well with majority of citizens as well as some members of the financial market. In addition, Trumpís attempts to alter trade agreements has already concerned quite a number of government leaders and it has already been clear that Trumpís recent movements are not to the best of interest of everyone involved in these issues. This has then prompted a drop in the USDís value, and has set out the ground for the recovery of the sterling pound.

There are no major news releases scheduled for today, although the US will be releasing a string of highly important economic data for this week. The GBP/USD pair is most likely to trade with a bullish tone for todayís sessions.
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  #50  
Old 01-29-2017, 11:53 PM
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USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis: January 30, 2017

The USD/CAD pair closed down the week on a much lower note as compared to the previous trading week after the Canadian dollar exhibited strength across the board and the USD weakened in value yet again even though it was able to recover during the latter part of the week. This particular recovery of the US dollar looks like it will be here for the long run, and this is why dollar bulls are putting added confidence to the performance of the US dollar in the next trading sessions. In addition, the Trump administration has already went about making changes and fulfilling its campaign promises, such as the shifts in Obamacare and the Mexican border wall, and the pulling out of US from trading agreements with Canada and other neighboring countries. This has created unrest in the market, and could open the doors for a possible trade war which is very bad news even for the US economy.

This has then prompted the USD/CAD pair to drop significantly in value from 1.3450 to 1.3000 points, but was saved by the sudden surge in the USD’s value as the previous week came to a close. The Canadian dollar also received support from the resiliency of oil prices, which managed to stay put in spite of the recent increase in the value of the US dollar. Market players are expecting this uptick in the USD/CAD to continue and could possibly extend up to 1.4000if it manages to stay just above 1.3000 points.

The Canadian GDP will be released this week, and governor Poloz from the Bank of Canada will also be releasing a statement this week. On the other hand, US will be releasing a string of important economic data including the NFP, wage earnings, as well as the statement from the FOMC. These are all expected to induce volatility in the market, and traders should either exercise caution or wait for things to settle before trading with this currency pair.
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  #51  
Old 01-30-2017, 12:01 AM
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USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis: January 30, 2017

The USD/JPY pair was subject to high volatility last week, but the price action of the currency pair was practically the same since the currency pair merely reflected the range during the past week. However, in spite of this marked stagnancy, the market was still able to post gains during the past week. The USD/JPY pair closed down the previous trading week at 115.047 points after increasing by 0.514 points or +0.45%.

For this week, the Bank of Japan is set to release its Monetary Policy statement, the BoJ, Policy Rate, and the BoJ Outlook Report. Investors are expecting that the Japanese central bank will be maintaining its current monetary policy and will be doing the same for its interest rates, which presently stands at -0.10%. In addition, the central bank would also likely say that its current outlook for the Japanese economy is positive and that it expects its national economy to continue its steady improvement.

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is also expected to maintain its current benchmark interest rate but could also leave out hints with regards to the timing of its interest rate hikes in the future. Market traders are anticipating that the Fed would release its opinions on President Trump’s recent slew of executive decisions during his first week in office and what these executive orders mean for the central bank’s decisions in the future.

The US will also be releasing its Non-Farm Payrolls report this week and is expected to show that the US economy increased jobs by 170,000 for January, although unemployment rates remain stagnant at 4.7%. Average Hourly Earnings for US will also be released this week and is expected to have a reading of 0.3%.
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  #52  
Old 01-30-2017, 02:10 AM
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EUR/USD Technical Analysis: January 30, 2017

The European currency slowed down followed by the improvement on the dollar’s stance. The euro were left flat-out due to the absence of the market-moving news in the calendar. The EUR resumed to move down smoothly overnight and break away from the near-term rising channel. The euro had traded mixed as the Asian trades opened and hovered in the tight ranges of 1.0650-1.0690.

The EURUSD is confined in the neutral position in the morning EU session and met renewed bids within 1.0700 level. It further rallied around the level, en route 1.0750 prior to the outset of NY hours.

According to the 4-hour chart, the price leads the 50-EMA lower and headed northwards together with the 100-EMa. The spot hovered on top of the 100 and 200-EMAs eventually. Resistance is seen at 1.0750, support hit 1.0700.

The MACD proceeded to the negative zone and if the histogram stayed in this area, the position of the sellers will improve. The RSI lies in the oversold territory near the neutral ground.

A close on top of the 1.0700 mark will produce renewed bullish indicator which is possible to advance towards 1.0750.
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  #53  
Old 01-30-2017, 02:13 AM
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GBP/USD Technical Analysis: January 30, 2017

The sterling softened on the back of the demand growth for the greenbacks. The GBPUSD was able to recover few of its losses subsequent to the meeting between Trump and May. The US data showed some pessimism which further hit the pair higher.

The British currency lose its value against its U.S peer during the night trades on Thursday. The spot were removed from 1.2600 level and placed in 1.2500 region amid Asian session. The pound extend its losses during EU hours, en route 1.2500. However, the level stalled the seller’s progress and kicked the spot higher. The price resumed its development on top of the moving averages as shown in the 4-hour chart while the 100 and 50-EMAs stirred upwards and the 200-EMA sits in the neutral position. Resistance touched 1.2600, support jump in the 1.2500 mark. The MACD histogram weakened which further slowed down buyer’s position. The RSI escaped from the overvalued territory and came in through the neutral zone.

The bullish outlook generally exist in the market while the pair got an opportunity to make recovery in case it surpassed 1.2600. A breakout within the 1.2600 handle would direct to 1.2700. Furthermore, the prevailing selling pressure could impact the spot and pushed below the mark 1.2500.
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  #54  
Old 01-30-2017, 02:15 AM
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NZD/USD Technical Analysis: January 30, 2017

The American dollar was able to sustain a bid tone last Friday. Meanwhile, the markets highly anticipated for the further plans of Trump coupled with the GDP of the country for the fourth quarter. The NZDUSD kept intact in the ascending channel pattern on Friday. The price were pushed by the downward impetus toward its lower limit last 26th of January. Moreover, a recovery lasted overnight showed insignificant results. The European traders solely managed to drive the spot upwards

The pair was able to expand its recovery during the NA session. The price continuously sits on top of the moving averages according to the 4-hour chart. The 100 and 50-EMAs moved higher while 200-EMA is positioned in the neutral trend mentioned in the similar chart. Resistance entered 0.7300, support reached the 0.7250 region. The MACD indicator confirmed weak buyer’s position as it decreased steadily.

Bullish sentiment was likely to prevail for today. The short-term goal for the pair is 0.7311.
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  #55  
Old 01-30-2017, 02:18 AM
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AUD/USD Technical Analysis: January 30, 2017

The AUD/USD pair closed lower at .7546 with an increase of 0.0014 or 10.78% on Friday since the release of economic data of Australian Consumer Inflation report that pulled down the U.S. dollar higher than what was expected in the last quarter in 2016. This could prompt the central bank to reduce its benchmark interest rate for this year.

There are no major Economic news from Australia to be released today but several data are scheduled to published from U.S. such as Core PCE Price Index, Personal spending, Personal Income, Pending Home Sales and Loan Officer survey later in the afternoon GMT time.

The main trend is heading upward in the daily chart but there is not enough momentum as the price reversed as it reached the .7608 level on Tuesday last week. However if the trade continues above the said level, it is possible for the upsurge to continue and establish .7511 as a new trading floor The trading range swayed between .7777 and .7159 levels with retracement levels from .7541 to .7468 area. The market extend across this range giving an upside tone with the retracement levels as support levels.

The near-term range lies within the .7159 to .7608 level. If the market reached the .7383 to .7330 area proceeding its reversal trend, this becomes the next floor target as it closes with a bearish tone.

The trading closed at 0.7546 on Friday and the next direction of the pair will depend on traders activity with Fibonacci level at 0.7541. If the current trend prolonged, this implies the strong stance of buyers leading the market. The followed uptrend with the possible resistance levels at .7568, .7588 with the last level to reach at .7598 before the highest level at .7608 mark. If it skips the .7608 level, the uptrend may continue towards the next target at .7639 level giving a bullish tone to the market.

However, if the price maintained lower than the .7608 level moving across the .7528 downtrend angle, indicating sellers dominating the market. It could go much lower towards the .7468 level. This could induce the market to jump towards the .7399 ad .7384 as the next support range. Overall, the price trend for this pair will depend on the market reaction to .7541 level to determine whether buyer or sellers will dominate the price for this day.
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  #56  
Old 01-30-2017, 02:46 AM
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USD/CAD Technical Analysis: January 30, 2017
The USD/CAD pair declined in the week while testing the 1.30 level or lower for support. The former uptrend line continues to move offering strong resistance. Its support level is found at 1.3018 followed by a rebound towards the 1.3053 mark. This rebound may be a signal to consolidate a downtrend at 1.3387 level and could further go down towards the 1.2900level. If a break above the 1.3230 Resistance level, this finishes the decline of the pair.
For now, it is more favorable to trade in short-term instead of long-term trades. Traders should monitor the oil market as it has a big impact to the Canadian dollar which is not performing well while the traders are still uncertain of what to do next.
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  #57  
Old 01-30-2017, 02:48 AM
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EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: January 30, 2017

The Euro has recovered this morning trading amid the high risk and uncertainty in the market that has also affected the U.S. dollars. It seems that the current global condition reverses where that safe haven assets such as dollar and gold as seen as a go-to investment because of its stability but this is not happening. The greenback gives off high risk with market concerns on the changes in U.S. policies while yen and gold gain with risk off sentiment of the traders.

Change in U.S. administration following Trump’s inauguration and its team looks into update of campaign promises such as modification of Obamacare, immigration rules in wholesalers and muslim ban and other migrants making it difficult for them to come back in the country attracted public controversy. The stand of the U.S. who is aiming for a renegotiation of NAFTA and other trade agreements, is significant in the global trading swaying the balance in trades where some leaders had dissatisfaction where this is heading. This has increased the uncertainty on what will happen in the next 4 years altering U.S. policies and influencing market sentiment that drags the dollar down while the pair gains from it.

With the recent Chinese New Year holiday, there is no new major economic news expected to be released today. Hence, the market is in consolidation while later on, market should expect high volatility with the release of economic data in the middle to later of the week. The U.S. dollar may continue to weaken for some time while the EUR/USD pair would remain in consolidation state with a tone of bullishness.
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  #58  
Old 01-30-2017, 03:28 AM
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January 30, 2017

BB to keep rates on hold, Kabir Said

The central bank of Bangladesh maintained its key policy rates on January 29, Sunday according to Governor Fazle Kabir, noting the comprehensive Macro stability coupled with a stable inflation forecast. As mentioned by the bankís governor, the predicted average inflation was estimated from 5.3 to 5.6 percent in June which is lower than the 5.8 percent goal for the fiscal year of 2016-17.

Kabir also added that the increasing value of the global commodities for this year would probably weigh an upward pressure on the domestic prices, he said in a press conference, marking the quantitative measure of the monetary policy from the month of January to June. Moreover, the Bangladesh Bank (BB) have trimmed its interest rates with a half percentage point in January 2016.

The average rate of inflation reached 5.92 percent during the fiscal year 2015-2016 which is the lowest recorded in 12 years. It is because of the steep decline in the commodity prices and the output in agriculture from South Asian countries, approximately 160 million individual.
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  #59  
Old 01-30-2017, 03:36 AM
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January 30, 2017

USD Drops, Asia Stocks Slump after Trump’s Immigration Ban Causes Unrest


The US dollar inched lower and asian stocks declined after the market suffered repercussions brought about by President Trump’s various implementing policies, including an immigration which has sparked outrage from a number of the world’s most influential leaders as well as some tech giants. Meanwhile, bonds rose in value along with gold prices. The US dollar traded within its lowest levels in over two months and has weakened significantly against all other major currencies. Oil prices also decreased in value for the second consecutive day this week.
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  #60  
Old 01-31-2017, 12:58 AM
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USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis: January 31, 2017

The Japanese yen inched higher as opposed to the US dollar as a result of a flight-to-safety trend across the market, which was triggered by investor reactions to a sudden drop in global equity markets. Meanwhile, stocks were sold off as a result of Donald Trumpís immigration ban. The USD/JPY pair closed off the previous trading session at 113.778 after decreasing by -1.10% or 1.269 points.

A lot of investors have sought the protection of the Japanese yen after protectionism concerns arose due to the immigration ban since these could possibly have a negative effect on both exports and imports and could also create substantial risks for the economy. Towards the latter part of yesterdayís session, the Japanese Household Spending data came in with a reading of 0.3%, exceeding market expectations of 0.8% and the previous reading of -1.5%. However, the unemployment rates for the country remain stagnant at 3.1%. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan chose to maintain its current benchmark interest rates at -0.10%, a move that was generally anticipated by the majority of market players. The central bank also increased its GDP forecast to 1.4% as opposed to its past prediction of 1.0% back in October. In addition, the BoJ also stated that it is expecting an inflation surge of around 2% come the fiscal year 2018.

Interest rate differentials could have a positive effect on the USD/JPY pair since the central bank chose to maintain its interest rates while the Fed hinted at high-frequency rate hikes for 2017. In the short term, the USD/JPY could be driven by volatility coming from the equity markets. However, the dollar-yen relationship could possibly be influenced by the positive interest rate differentials.
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